Swing Trading Signaux

Swing Signals - aujourd'hui liste libre des stocks prêts pour le swing trading Whats this all about Chaque semaine, nous passons en revue tous les stocks cotés sur le NYSE, AMEX et NASDAQ, plus de 7400 titres en tout. En tant que sous-produit de ce processus, nous générons des signaux de swing basés sur Bollinger Bands, Williams R et quelques autres indicateurs d'analyse technique. Il s'agit d'un exemple d'une stratégie de négociation algorithmique en utilisant l'histoire des cours boursiers où notre logiciel détermine quand un stock a épuisé une tendance cycle à court terme et est dirigé dans la direction opposée. Nous utilisons la moyenne mobile de 20 jours comme ligne de base et les bandes de Bollinger pour fournir des limites de cycle de deux fois l'écart-type de l'action quotidienne des actions. Nos Signaux Swing peut être utilisé pour le swing trading sur jours ou semaines, à court terme de négociation ou même comme une source d'idées pour le day trading. Nos Signaux Swing fournissent des signaux d'ACHAT de VENTE que vous pouvez utiliser pour l'achat ou le court-circuit des stocks et pour le trading ETF. - SELL Signals En utilisant des données quotidiennes, nous recherchons des stocks qui ont brisé leur bande supérieure de Bollinger et ont ensuite baissé entre un quart et un écart-type et demi en dessous de leur bande supérieure de Bollinger au cours des deux dernières semaines. - ACHETER DES INDICATEURS En utilisant des données quotidiennes, nous recherchons des titres qui ont dépassé leur bande inférieure de Bollinger et ont ensuite augmenté entre un quart et un écart-type et demi au-dessus de leur bande inférieure de Bollinger au cours des deux dernières semaines. Faites défiler la liste pour passer en revue les données de cette semaine dans un format tabulaire. Avertissement: Ce site peut inclure une analyse de marché. Toutes les idées, opinions, alertes et / ou prévisions, exprimées ou implicites dans le présent document, sont uniquement à titre d'information et ne doivent pas être interprétées comme une recommandation d'investir, de commercer ou de spéculer sur les marchés. Tous les investissements, métiers et spéculations effectués à la lumière des idées, avis, alertes et / ou prévisions, exprimés ou implicites dans le présent document, sont engagés à vos propres risques, financiers ou autres. Abonnez-vous au blog TradingStockAlerts Recevez une notification lorsque de nouvelles fonctionnalités sont ajoutées au site, obtenez les derniers choix de titres, les appels au marché et les commentaires. Abonnez-vous dans un lecteur Support Trade Radar et TradingStockAlerts Si les informations de ce site vous aident et vous souhaitez laisser un don via PayPal, MasterCard ou VISA, veuillez cliquer sur le bouton ci-dessous: Contactez-nousRFX FOREX SWING TRADING THE HOLY GRAIL FOREX SERVICE TRADING MANUAL LECONS DE VIDÉO QUOTIDIENNES SIGNES DE COMMERCIALISATION COMMENT LA FOREX REALISE DES TRAVAUX La plupart des cours de négociation offrent de bonnes stratégies, mais ce que vous verrez ici sont les chaînons manquants dans ce qu'ils fournissent. Ces facteurs décrits ci-dessous représentent la base du marché Forex et de la méthodologie Swing Trading que vous verrez. Ensemble, ces facteurs ainsi que ce service vous fourniront une expérience de trading de classe mondiale. 1. CONTRÔLE DU CADRE DU TEMPS Le graphique ci-dessous montre la dynamique de puissance des cadres de temps du Forex. Les Signaux, les Configurations et la Direction des Cadres de Temps Supérieurs déterminent SI et QUAND le cadre de temps inférieur associé se déplace. Une fois que ces 3 choses sont forts et clairs, les cadres de temps plus petits répondront. 2. LE TEMPS DE RÉPONSE DES FICHIERS DE TEMPS PLUS PETIT Une fois que les Signaux, les Configurations et la Direction sont forts et clairs, il y aura alors un délai avant que les Cadres de Temps plus Petits réagissent réellement avec Configurations et Signaux propres. Ce délai est égal au temps plus long. Ainsi, un graphique de 4 heures prendra environ 1 jour pour répondre aux signaux de cette période. RÉPARTITION DU CADRE DU TEMPS INFÉRIEUR Il s'agit des temps de réponse. Si vous ne voyez pas une réponse à l'intérieur ou assez près de ces temps, cela signifie généralement que les signaux et / ou les configurations des cartes plus larges étaient des signaux WeakFalse. L'exception à cela est si le marché se déplace très rapidement. Dans ce cas, la réponse est beaucoup plus rapide. Parfois, en raison de cette vitesse, le graphique inférieur peut même pas avoir le temps de vous donner un signal d'ampli d'installation, vous faisant perdre une occasion. CARTE QUOTIDIEN SIGNAL DONNÉ 4 HORAIRE RÉPONSE TRADE TARGET HIT 3. SEMANAL AMPÈTRE MENSUELLE RANGES Tous les paires de devises ont une gamme particulière de mouvement chaque jour, semaine et mois. Une fois ces derniers atteints, les paires de devises commenceront à se retirer ou à se déplacer latéralement. Ce retrait entraînera soit une inversion de tendance, soit une reprise de la tendance avec un autre signal. Une prise de conscience de ces Pip Ranges est la clé pour éviter les renversements et de maximiser sur Breakouts. Environ toutes les 4 semaines, une paire de devises se déplacera selon son intervalle mensuel, composé de 2 mouvements de la gamme hebdomadaire. Entre chaque mouvement, la Paire traversera une période de patrons latéraux et de retraits temporaires avant de reprendre la tendance. Ces gammes agissent comme des points majeurs de résistance et de soutien pour contrôler la direction du marché. Le défi est. Comment les incluez-vous dans votre plan de trading? 4. CIBLES DE COMMERCE Après avoir maîtrisé la dynamique des Time Frames et de leurs gammes, la prochaine étape consiste à déterminer la quantité de ces mouvements que vous voulez capturer. Cela déterminera si vous voulez être un Trader à long terme, Swing Trader, Day Trader ou Scalper. Ce sont, en moyenne, les cibles que ces commerçants ont. Le type de cibles TraderPip déterminera la fréquence de vos échanges. Il est également vrai que le temps que vous pouvez consacrer à la négociation détermine également le type de TraderPips que vous ciblez. À long terme et Swing Traders peuvent échanger 1 ou 2 paires à la fois pour éviter les risques de corrélation, tandis que Day Traders et scalpeurs peuvent tenir plusieurs à la fois du commerce ou plusieurs fois par jour. Cela peut être un choix difficile. En fin de compte, il revient à quel style répond à vos objectifs monétaires de Forex Trading, compte tenu de vos contraintes de la vie réelle. 5. votre stratégie de trading La plupart des décisions concernant la façon dont vous allez capturer vos cibles de Pip viennent vers le bas pour le choix entre les indicateurs statistiques et Chandeliers japonais Trend amp Lines. Les deux ont leurs avantages et leurs inconvénients. La décision sera de savoir quelle approche vous permet de capturer vos cibles Pip avec la plus grande précision, avec aussi peu de faux signaux que possible. C'est là que vous commencez à voir mon parti pris à l'égard des signes des chandeliers. LE SERVICE DE FOREX FORCÉ DE GRAL C'est le Service qui vous donnera les Solutions à ces 5 Facteurs Techniques pour obtenir un Trader Dominant, Succès de Forex. Swing Traders recevra des signaux de négociation qui ciblent 100 à 200 pips par transaction chaque mois, en utilisant les stratégies dans le manuel. Day Traders sera en mesure de prédire les grandes évasions et d'éviter les renversements brusques, la réalisation de plus gros gains commerciaux avec vos stratégies actuelles. TRADING CANDLESTICKS JAPONAIS MANUEL Trending MARCHÉS CONSOLIDATION CONFIGURATIONS STRATÉGIES SWING SWING SIGNAUX DE NÉGOCIATION SWING TRADERS GRANDES CIBLES BREAKOUT TRADERS JOUR ENTRÉE MULTIPLE SETUPS DAILY LEÇONS VIDEO MAJOR BREAKOUT cibles identifiés éclatèrent AS PRÉVU TRADING GAIN LARGE AVANT INVERSION MAJOR Sans savoir que la Banque nationale suisse (BNS) Allait supprimer la cheville de taux de change avec l'EURO, la Méthodologie a été en mesure de prédire exactement où l'évasion se terminerait avant la reprise. Ce fut le rappel le plus marquant de la nécessité de savoir comment fonctionne le marché, ses objectifs et ses principaux points de retrait. Tant que vous suivez toujours les règles de la méthodologie, c'est une compétence qui fera le commerçant une coupe au-dessus du repos. GUIDE DU SERVICE TRADNG Les tableaux ci-dessous montrent les résultats d'apprentissage que vous ciblez au cours des 6 prochains mois. Le manuel de négociation, 6 leçons vidéo quotidiennes et les signaux commerciaux seront vos outils pour atteindre ces objectifs. FXCM graphiques sont utilisés pour fournir des signaux de négociation, car ceux-ci utilisent la meilleure version de la bougie close-up de New York Daily Chart-crucial à ma méthodologie. Cependant, mon Live Trading est fait avec FxPro (préférences personnelles). Un compte de démonstration FXCM est donc nécessaire pour comprendre mes stratégies, même si vous faites affaire avec un autre courtier. Mon blog à drfxtrading. blogspot sera également utile. Vous verrez les commentaires des métiers passés et les prévisions du marché, étend tout le chemin du retour à 2014. Cela va vous montrer comment le Forex est précisément analysée en utilisant les théories dans le manuel. En tant que Mentor, je serai disponible pour vous par Email et Skype pour répondre à toutes vos questions et par Cell pour les situations commerciales vraiment urgentes que nous rencontrons tous. LES RÉSULTATS D'APPRENTISSAGE POURQUOI DEVENIR UN ABONNÉ DRFX ce que vous exigez avant d'acheter le cours moyen de cours de forex fournit des stratégies de négociation fournies trading blogs avec des articles chat rooms avec d'autres commerçants adhésion Pourquoi payer plus ce que vous demandez avant d'acheter le cours moyen Forex ) La précision de la prévision MENTORING amp APPORT amplitude surveillée vérifié les métiers UNE VIE ACTUELLE LA DIFFÉRENCE EST CLAIRE SOUSCRIRE TODAYMy mécanicien m'a dit, je ne pourrais pas réparer vos freins, ainsi j'ai fait votre corne plus fort. LES MARCHÉS SONT FERMÉS LE LUNDI POUR OBSERVER UNE FÊTE NATIONALE ET REPRENDRE LE MARDI. Vous pouvez maintenant suivre les fonds verticaux de négociation action sur Twitter theverticalfund - - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe de négociation est sur les marchés LE FONDS VERTICAL: Le Fonds vertical est maintenant en direct et en cours. Ce fonds négocie les mêmes signaux de VP de modèle principal présentés dans chaque briefing du soir. La différence est que The Vertical Fund est géré professionnellement par notre propre équipe d'experts commerciaux, membres ayant un siège sur la Chicago Mercantile Exchange et avec plus de 30 ans d'expérience situé sur le sol de la Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Depuis sa création en juillet 2015, la performance des simulateurs en temps réel des fonds affiche un gain brut de 62,05. Continuer à lire rarr Prenez mon conseil Im ne pas l'utiliser. Vous pouvez maintenant suivre les fonds verticaux de négociation action sur Twitter theverticalfund - - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe de négociation est sur les marchés LE FONDS VERTICAL: Le Fonds vertical est maintenant en direct et en cours. Ce fonds négocie les mêmes signaux de VP de modèle principal présentés dans chaque briefing du soir. La différence est que The Vertical Fund est géré professionnellement par notre propre équipe d'experts commerciaux, membres ayant un siège sur la Chicago Mercantile Exchange et avec plus de 30 ans d'expérience situé sur le sol de la Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Depuis sa création en juillet 2015, la performance des simulateurs en temps réel des fonds affiche un gain brut de 62,05. Le succès est à quel point vous rebondissez quand vous touchez le bas. George S. Patton Vous pouvez maintenant suivre les fonds verticaux de négociation action sur Twitter theverticalfund - - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe commerciale est sur les marchés LE FONDS VERTICAL: Le Fonds vertical est maintenant en direct et en cours. Ce fonds négocie les mêmes signaux de VP de modèle principal présentés dans chaque briefing du soir. La différence est que The Vertical Fund est géré professionnellement par notre propre équipe d'experts commerciaux, membres ayant un siège sur la Chicago Mercantile Exchange et avec plus de 30 ans d'expérience situé sur le sol de la Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Depuis sa création en juillet 2015, la performance des simulateurs en temps réel des fonds affiche un gain brut de 62,05. Continuer à lire rarr Vous n'avez pas à tout avoir compris pour aller de l'avant. VEUILLEZ NOTER QUE LA FEUILLE EST PLUS PETITE POUR LA FAIRE PLUS FACILE À DÉFILEMENT ET À TENTER D'ÉLIMINER LA DIFFÉRENTE QUESTION DE GARBLE POUR LES BÉNÉFICIAIRES DE GMAIL. JE NOTIFIÉ GMAIL À GOOGLE, MEANWHILE SI CELA FAIT UN PROBLÈME ANDOR VOUS AVEZ UNE AUTRE ADRESSE DE COURRIEL PUIS LAISSEZ-MOI SAIS-JE. SI VOUS RECEVEZ UN EMAIL EMAIL, ALORS CLIQUEZ POUR TELECHARGER L'ENSEMBLE DU MESSAGE ET IL DOIT OUVRIR SANS GARBONS. MÊME LORS, LES CARTES NE PEUVENT PAS OUVRIR, MAIS ELLES NE SONT PAS VITALES AUX SIGNAUX. Vous pouvez maintenant suivre les fonds verticaux de négociation action sur Twitter theverticalfund - - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe de négociation est sur les marchés LE FONDS VERTICAL: Le Fonds vertical est maintenant en direct et en cours. Ce fonds négocie les mêmes signaux de VP de modèle principal présentés dans chaque briefing du soir. La différence est que The Vertical Fund est géré professionnellement par notre propre équipe d'experts commerciaux, membres ayant un siège sur la Chicago Mercantile Exchange et avec plus de 30 ans d'expérience situé sur le sol de la Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Depuis sa création en juillet 2015, la performance des simulateurs en temps réel des fonds affiche un gain brut de 62,05. Vous n'avez pas à tout avoir compris pour aller de l'avant. Vous pouvez maintenant suivre les fonds verticaux de négociation action sur Twitter theverticalfund - - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe de négociation est sur les marchés LE FONDS VERTICAL: Le Fonds vertical est maintenant en direct et en cours. Ce fonds négocie les mêmes signaux de VP de modèle principal présentés dans chaque briefing du soir. La différence est que The Vertical Fund est géré professionnellement par notre propre équipe d'experts commerciaux, membres ayant un siège sur la Chicago Mercantile Exchange et avec plus de 30 ans d'expérience situé sur le sol de la Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Depuis sa création en juillet 2015, la performance des simulateurs en temps réel des fonds affiche un gain brut de 62,05. LE FONDS VERTICAL performance en temps réel depuis sa création sur 93016 actuellement à partir de ce vendredi dernier avec un gain net de -1,49 (pas de changement pour la semaine dernière). Ce sera mis à jour chaque lundi dans le briefing du soir. La méthode de négociation optimisée BTIT est maintenant incluse dans la stratégie de négociation de fonds à partir de 1417. UN BREVE TUTORIEL DE TOUTES LES APPLICATIONS PRINCIPALES est au bas de chaque briefing soir, s'il vous plaît prendre le temps de le revoir de temps en temps, une bonne connaissance de travail De ces outils vous fera un investisseur mieux et plus informé. L'amertume est comme boire du poison et attendre que l'autre personne meure. Vous pouvez maintenant suivre les fonds verticaux trading action sur Twitter theverticalfund - - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe de négociation est sur les marchés LE FONDS VERTICAL performance en temps réel depuis sa création sur 93016 est actuellement à partir de ce vendredi dernier avec Un gain net de -1,49. Ce sera mis à jour chaque lundi dans le briefing du soir. La méthode de négociation optimisée BTIT est maintenant incluse dans la stratégie de négociation de fonds à partir de 1417. UN BREVE TUTORIEL DE TOUTES LES APPLICATIONS PRINCIPALES est au bas de chaque briefing soir, s'il vous plaît prendre le temps de le revoir de temps en temps, une bonne connaissance de travail De ces outils vous fera un investisseur mieux et plus informé. L'amertume est comme boire du poison et attendre que l'autre personne meure. Vous pouvez maintenant suivre les fonds verticaux trading action sur Twitter theverticalfund - - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe de négociation est sur les marchés LE FONDS VERTICAL performance en temps réel depuis sa création sur 93016 est actuellement à partir de ce vendredi dernier avec Un gain net de -1,49. Ce sera mis à jour chaque lundi dans le briefing du soir. La méthode de négociation optimisée BTIT est maintenant incluse dans la stratégie de négociation de fonds à partir de 1417. UN BREVE TUTORIEL DE TOUTES LES APPLICATIONS DE MODÈLE PRINCIPAL est au bas de chaque briefing soir, s'il vous plaît prendre le temps de le revoir de temps en temps, une bonne connaissance de travail De ces outils vous fera un investisseur mieux et plus informé. DIFFERENDS INTERMÉDIAIRES D'INTÉRÊT À PLUS GRANDE DURÉE: HAUT à partir de 1417 Un dessous inférieur à 2237.82 transformerait le BTIT en neutre. Une fin en dessous de 2229.99 fera baisser le BTIT. BTIT Instructions commerciales pour demain: Pour le trader BTIT, vous êtes maintenant long de 2263.80. Placer un stop de vente pour aller à plat à 2235.80, thats 2 points en dessous du prix forfaitaire. Placer un stop de vente pour aller court à 2229.90, et si rempli place un arrêt d'achat pour aller plat à 2239.90. LA STRATÉGIE DE NÉGOCIATION À PLUSIEURS LONG TERME Le biais de tendance à terme plus général (BTIT) est déterminé par la pénétration collective du plafond à court terme et des prix planchers. Lorsque tous les prix plafonds à court terme ont été pénétrés à la clôture et qu'aucun des prix planchers ne sont pénétrés, alors le biais BTIT serait UP. Lorsque l'inverse se produit, alors le biais BTIT serait DOWN. Le biais se transforme en NEUTRE quand un ou plusieurs des prix du plafond sont pénétrés à la fin dans la direction opposée. Lorsqu'en NEUTRAL, le BTIT rétablirait le biais de tendance UP ou DOWN le plus récent lors de la pénétration et de la fermeture du plafond récent le plus proche. Une position longue sera prise lorsque le BTIT est tourné vers le haut et une position courte lorsque le BTIT est tourné vers le bas. Lorsque le BTIT devient neutre, la position est alors fermée et restera plane. La stratégie de négociation optimisée de BTIT est une stratégie fiable, valable et rentable conçue pour ceux qui préfèrent une position commerciale à plus long terme sans surveillance quotidienne étroite. Les fluctuations des prix sont également beaucoup plus larges donc la prudence est toujours très conseillé et seule une position modeste devrait être prise pour cette stratégie. La position commerciale actuelle du BTIT: Long de 2263.80 à partir de 1417 - - il ya maintenant 18 métiers complétés pour un gain total de 445.10 points SP. TRÈS IMPORTANT: Veuillez noter que tous les signaux de prix doivent être tirés du grand contrat et que le mini peut être échangé, le mini donne trop de faux signaux. Par conséquent, les instructions suivantes s'appliquent uniquement pour le contrat important. Ainsi, obtenez le signal du contrat important et puis échangez le mini sur ce grand signal de contrat. Vous pouvez prendre le gros contrat de signal et ensuite le commerce tout SP basée sur ETF sur ce signal. DEMAIN SP SP STRATEGIE COMMERCIALE: Pour vendredi, une clôture en dessous de 2237.90 dans le contrat de MARCHES confirmerait un nouveau signal de vente de modèle principal. N'oubliez pas d'examiner la carte des prix VP directement ci-dessous pour des points VP supplémentaires qui peuvent déclencher un signal buysell. Pour les commerçants de la règle de Hoban, vous êtes actuellement plat ce marché. Entrez une nouvelle position courte avec une fin entre 2232.90 et 2231.90. Si rempli, puis placez un arrêt de sortie pour aller à plat à 2239.90. S'il vous plaît vous familiariser avec la stratégie d'entrée de la règle de Hoban dans le cas d'un signal est confirmé sur un autre jour VP moyen et comment entrer dans un nouveau poste mi-journée en utilisant la règle 3, cette stratégie d'entrée facile est expliqué dans le tutoriel au bas de chaque Briefing en soirée. Bien sûr, toutes les questions, s'il vous plaît demander. Justification: Un prix plancher à 2237,82. Le dernier commerce à cette écriture est à 2264.20 dans le mars. Le modèle principal est maintenant long le SP de mars de 2241.10 à compter du mardi 3 janvier. On dirait que la rupture d'une hausse peut avoir commencé cette semaine. Les deux principales règles de commerce de modèle: 1) Chaque fois que le marché se négocie au-dessus de tout prix de tête VP et puis se ferme au-dessous, cela confirmerait un nouveau signal principal de vente de modèle. 2) Chaque fois que le marché trades en dessous de n'importe quel prix inférieur VP et puis se ferme au-dessus, cela confirmerait un nouveau modèle principal achat de signal. LA CARTE DE PRIX POUR LE POMPIER La carte VP vous indique tout ce que vous devez savoir, consultez la carte tous les jours. Sachant la carte et les deux règles de négociation clés vous feront un trader beaucoup plus savvy, il est donc extrêmement important de se familiariser avec la carte VP. Les prix verticaux secondaires (SVP) sont pour le commerçant agressif qui est à la recherche d'un avantage supplémentaire sur les points d'épuisement supplémentaires. Vous remarquerez que le marché réagit aussi bien au SVP qu'aux points VP standard et sont négociés de la même façon, mais pour l'instant le modèle principal n'utilisera que les points VP standard pour les signaux officiels du modèle principal. SP MARCH VP PRIX MAJOR - - 2296.61 et doit fermer au-dessous de ce prix le vendredi 21 janvier pour confirmer un nouveau modèle principal vendre signal. MAJOR - - 2289.53 et doit fermer au-dessous de ce prix le lundi 23 janvier pour confirmer un nouveau modèle principal vendent le signal. MAJOR - - 2289.001 et doit fermer au-dessous de ce prix le vendredi 27 janvier pour confirmer un nouveau modèle principal vendre signal. Prix ​​de clôture - - 2264.20 - - 2176.74 Prix au sol - - 2237.82 MAJOR - - 2143.001 et doit fermer au-dessus de ce prix le mercredi 1er février pour confirmer un nouveau modèle d'achat principal. La carte de prix ci-dessus est répertoriée par ordre décroissant de tous les prix verticaux actuellement actifs au-dessus et en dessous du marché. Ceux en rouge ont été générés sur les signaux d'achat précédemment confirmés, ceux en vert ont été générés sur les signaux de vente précédemment confirmé. Prix ​​de clôture d'aujourd'hui est également inclus pour vous fournir une lecture de type GPS de l'endroit où le marché est actuellement par rapport à tous les points VP sur les deux côtés du marché. VEUILLEZ NOTER: Il est d'une importance vitale de savoir où le marché est sur cette carte à tout moment, le principal modèle acheter et vendre des signaux sont générés uniquement à partir de cette carte VP. Les règles commerciales, que vous connaissez probablement déjà à l'heure actuelle, sont très simples et sont expliqués ci-dessous. L'indicateur MEGA TREND (MTI) - - UP à partir de 72916 Il s'agit d'un compartiment de négociation mensuel par mois et d'un taux de variation moyen pondéré des derniers 11 et 14 mois et est calculé le dernier jour de marché de chaque mois. Une clôture mensuelle pour janvier en dessous de 2119,36 transformerait le MTI en neutre. Une clôture mensuelle pour janvier en dessous de 1926.10 fera baisser le MTI. La position commerciale actuelle de MTI: longue de 2168.20, le prix de clôture sur 72916. Ce signal d'achat de modèles est basé sur la courbe de Coppock et a été testé de nouveau à 1914 avec le DJIA. Il ya eu au total 22 signaux d'achat précédents au cours des 102 dernières années depuis 1914. Sur les 22 signaux d'achat précédents, seuls deux signaux faux ont été donnés, ils ont été donnés en octobre 1938 et en janvier 1948, ce qui est une précision de 90,9 Taux depuis 1914. réaliser, il s'agit d'un indicateur mensuel et ces marchés peuvent se déplacer largement dans les deux directions pendant mi-mois. L'histoire de la performance de Hoban Rule: La règle de Hoban a été présentée au briefing du soir sur 9414. Depuis cette date, cette stratégie a maintenant complété 38 métiers pour un gain net de 259,80 points SP. Il s'agit d'une stratégie simple mais élégante pour tous ceux qui préfèrent un plan commercial moins exigeant basé sur les signaux du modèle principal. Si vous voulez voir la feuille de score trade by trade pour la règle de Hoban, demandez-moi simplement et je vous l'enverrai par e-mail. LE FONDS VERTICAL: Le Fonds vertical est maintenant en direct et en cours. Ce fonds négocie les mêmes signaux de VP de modèle principal présentés dans chaque briefing du soir. La différence est que The Vertical Fund est géré professionnellement par notre propre équipe d'experts commerciaux, membres ayant un siège sur la Chicago Mercantile Exchange et avec plus de 30 ans d'expérience situé sur le sol de la Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Depuis sa création en juillet 2015, la performance des simulateurs en temps réel des fonds affiche un gain brut de 62,05. LE FONDS VERTICAL performance en temps réel depuis sa création sur 93016 actuellement à partir de ce vendredi dernier avec un gain net de -1,49. Ce sera mis à jour chaque lundi dans le briefing du soir. La méthode de négociation BTIT optimisé est maintenant inclus dans la stratégie de négociation de fonds à partir de 1417. Vous pouvez maintenant suivre l'action de négociation Fonds verticaux sur Twitter theverticalfund - pas tous les métiers sont affichés depuis le focus principal de l'équipe commerciale sur les marchés THE LT PRIX ET GRAPHIQUE DE MOMENTUM POUR LE SP: Vous ne pourrez peut-être pas le voir à moins que vous scintilliez, mais la ligne de momentum a effectivement tourné hier à plat et minimalement plus élevé. Peut-il durer. Le FEBRUARY Gold futures BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: BAS depuis 112316 Un proche au-dessus de 1331.11 mettrait le BTIT à la hausse. Une fin au-dessus de 1200,11 transformerait le BTIT en neutre. Le modèle principal est maintenant long l'or de février à partir de 1133.30 à partir du mardi 27 décembre. STRATÉGIE DU COMMERCE DE L'OUEST DE DEMAIN: Pour vendredi, une fermeture en dessous de 1172.30 dans le contrat d'or de février confirmerait un nouveau signal de vente de modèle principal. Également, veuillez consulter et consulter tous les jours la carte de prix VP pour tout et toutes les révisions et mises à jour des principaux modèles à mi-journée. La stratégie commerciale de demain est toujours sujette à révision basée sur la carte de prix VP, il est donc extrêmement important de se familiariser avec cette carte ci-dessous. (La règle de Hoban a été expressément conçue pour le marché SP et aucun autre marché à ce moment-là) Justification: Un VP à 1172.21. Pas un mauvais rallye, hein. GOLD FEBRUARY VP PRIX MAJOR - - 1190.27 et doit fermer au-dessous de ce prix le mercredi 18 Janvier pour confirmer un nouveau modèle principal vendre signal. AUTRES PRIX DE CLÔTURE - - 1181.30 mineur - - 1126.63 MAJOR - - (aucun) et doit fermer au-dessus de ce prix sur (aucun) pour confirmer un nouveau modèle d'achat principal. Ce qui précède est une carte de prix dans l'ordre décroissant de tous les prix verticaux actuellement actifs au-dessus et au-dessous du marché. Ceux en rouge ont été générés sur les signaux d'achat précédemment confirmés, ceux en vert ont été générés sur les signaux de vente précédemment confirmé. Le prix de clôture d'aujourd'hui est également inclus pour vous fournir une lecture de type GPS de l'endroit où le marché est actuellement par rapport à tous les points VP sur les deux côtés du marché. Indicateur de ligne plane (FLI) pour GLD. L'indicateur de ligne plane a été mis en place pour suivre GLD et non le marché de l'or FUTURES DEPUIS LE MARCHÉ ETF GLD montre un modèle plus liquide. TOUS LES PRINCIPAUX MODÈLES DE SIGNALISATION POUR LE MARCHÉ DE L'AVENIR D'OR NE SERONT TOUJOURS LE MEME. Ce graphique à lignes planes commence à paraître impressionnant. Un fond majeur a clairement été fait. LE PRIX LT ET LE GRAPHIQUE MOMENTUM POUR L'OR: Bonne mine, restaient longtemps jusqu'à. Bien, jusqu'à ce que nous ne. La formule du modèle principal La formule du modèle principal est spécifiquement conçue pour déterminer précisément et au prix exact du marché où le marché est le plus susceptible d'atteindre l'achat complet et / ou l'épuisement de la vente, il n'y a pas de deviner à ce sujet. C'est pourquoi le marché se retire presque toujours des points VP après les avoir atteints, au moins pour 10 à 12 points avant de reprendre la tendance. Aussi, à ces points VP, le marché est le plus vulnérable à un changement de tendance légitime. N'UTILISEZ QUE LE GRAND CONTRAT DE FUTURES SP POUR TOUS LES SIGNAUX, LE MINI CONTRAT VOUS DONNERA DE FAUX SIGNAUX. ET PUIS, UNE FOIS UN SIGNAL EST DÉCLENCHÉ (ET CONFIRMÉ), PUIS VOUS POUVEZ ÉCHANGER TOUT AUTRE MARCHÉ DE CE SIGNAL. Il est toujours sage de ne tenir qu'une position légère afin de tolérer l'action prix sauvage de ce marché. Aussi, si vous n'êtes pas agile avec ces marchés, alors vous pouvez vouloir attendre jusqu'à ce que le marché se ferme pour la journée pour être sûr que tout nouveau signal est confirmé, cela permettra d'éliminer tous les fouets de jour moyen possible. Pour être plus sûr pendant la nuit, envisager d'utiliser un arrêt de sortie pour la préservation du capital. En outre, les arrêts de fuite sont complètement individuels, il est présumé que les abonnés auraient leur propre stratégie personnelle sur comment et quand entrer et sortir du commerce, ces marchés peuvent souvent être vicieux. Les points VP vous dire où et si le marché est sur le point de se déplacer dans une direction ou une autre. Pour moi, j'aime prendre des bénéfices à tout moment, j'ai le sens Im satisfait, je n'ai pas besoin de monter tous les signaux jusqu'à la dernière étape, ce n'est vraiment pas nécessaire. En outre, si vous avez des difficultés avec ces marchés, je vous recommande vivement d'envisager une combinaison de la Règle de Hoban et de la Règle pour entrer dans les positions commerciales, ou juste attendre le lendemain matin pour trouver un endroit confortable pour entrer dans le commerce. Jamais pressé Cela éliminera tous les fouets. BRÈVE TUTORIEL DE PRINCIPALES APPLICATIONS MODÈLES: La confirmation de confirmation de SP toujours se réfère au grand contrat 16h15 prix de clôture à terme. Également, utilisez seulement le grand contrat pour tous les signaux officiels du modèle principal, le mini contrat vous donnera des faux signaux. Le prix de confirmation Le prix de confirmation est un prix de marché spécifique au-delà duquel le marché doit fermer afin de confirmer un nouveau modèle principal d'achat ou de vente. Le prix de confirmation n'est pas un sélecteur haut ou bas, il n'est pas conçu pour vous mettre dans un nouveau poste à droite, ou à proximité, la tache supérieure ou inférieure. Mais plutôt, il vous indique que la tendance a plus que probablement changé de direction avec un degré élevé de fiabilité. Comme cela a été démontré avec une fiabilité supérieure à 98, le prix de confirmation confirme que la tendance du marché a légitimement changé de direction et qu'une nouvelle tendance vient de commencer. Très souvent, un prix de confirmation d'achat peut sembler si loin au-dessus du marché que prendre une nouvelle position longue à ce niveau élevé semble risqué. Le même peut être dit pour prendre une nouvelle position courte à un prix de confirmation de vente. Mais factuellement, ces points de prix sont le lieu idéal pour entrer dans une nouvelle position puisque ces prix de confirmation se produisent où la plupart des gens sont susceptibles de prendre de nouvelles positions erronées dans la tendance qui vient de se terminer. C'est pourquoi le marché se déplace de manière explosive après que le prix est confirmé, par ex. Les nouveaux détenteurs de short se démènent pour couvrir ou les nouveaux acheteurs de trempage se vendent rapidement. Indicateur NT L'indicateur NT est un indicateur à court terme (NT) et est inclus dans les séances d'information en soirée pour le bénéfice de ceux qui font des métiers à contre-tendance. Les piquets d'achat et de vente du NT ne sont pas des signaux d'achat et de vente de modèles principaux, ces pics ne sont que très près du terme, bien qu'ils puissent toujours se transformer en quelque chose de plus significatif au cours des prochains jours. À l'aide d'une analogie météorologique, les pointes de buysell ressemblent beaucoup à une zone de basse pression en développement ou à une vague tropicale, elles n'indiquent pas un ouragan entièrement soufflé, bien qu'il pourrait éventuellement se développer. Si un ouragan complètement soufflé se développe réellement, alors le signal modèle principal lui-même traiterait de cette action de marché. Comment lire l'indicateur NT Le meilleur moment et le plus sûr de prendre un signal NT est lorsque le marché a déjà tendance pendant un certain temps et s'approche maintenant d'un prix VP, en particulier un vice-président principal, puis le pic NT indiquera que la tendance est probable À inverser puisque le marché est déjà vulnérable à un prix de VP, le pic de NT fournit une plus grande certitude pour ce commerce de tendance de contre-tendance. Le VP, ou Prix Vertical, n'est PAS une cible, le marché n'est pas nécessaire ou devrait atteindre un prix VP. Cependant, si elle est atteinte, le prix VP représente l'endroit où le buyingselling a atteint son point d'épuisement maximal, au moins temporairement, et un changement de tendance est très probable. VP prix se comportent comme des aimants, ils attirent le prix du marché, et quand le prix touche le point VP, alors la polarité inverse et repousse le prix. Tout ce marché fait jamais est ping-pong entre prix VP. La formule du modèle principal est spécialement conçue pour déterminer précisément et au prix exact du marché où le marché est le plus susceptible d'atteindre l'achat complet et / ou l'épuisement de la vente, il n'y a pas de deviner. C'est pourquoi le marché se retire presque toujours des points VP après les avoir atteints, au moins pour 10 à 12 points avant de reprendre la tendance. Aussi, à ces points VP, le marché est le plus vulnérable à un changement de tendance légitime. Par conséquent, lorsque le marché se négocie à travers ces points VP et puis recule et se referme de l'autre côté de nouveau, il ya une probabilité très élevée d'un renversement de tendance à ce moment-là. Ces VP points sont comme des aimants, ils tirent et attirent le prix jusqu'à ce que le VP est atteint, puis en atteignant le VP, il inverse la polarité et repousse le prix. À ce moment-là, le marché peut reculer et confirmer un nouveau signal de tendance ou retourner au VP et reprendre la tendance originale. C'est là que le modèle principal détermine les prix de confirmation d'achat et de vente. Le prix plancher est toujours là dans une tendance à la baisse, le prix plafond est toujours là dans une tendance à la hausse. Ces prix spécifiques sont rarement mentionnés parce que le marché les atteint rarement. Ce ne sont pas des prix VP, mais peuvent être traités comme un prix VP, sauf les prix au sol et au plafond changent tous les jours tandis que le prix VP ne fait pas. Un proche au-delà du prix au sol devrait être considéré comme un deuxième signe d'achat ou de confirmation de vente. Comment lire le prix VP Si le marché touche et puis s'éloigne de la VP très rapidement et ne revient pas, alors cela indique généralement un retournement du marché, mais si le marché s'éloigne de la VP et puis revient dans un jour ou deux, peut-être Plus tôt, alors le mouvement n'est pas terminé et le marché est susceptible de se poursuivre dans sa tendance actuelle. Les visites répétées à un vice-président suggèrent que le déménagement n'est pas encore terminé. Une suggestion sur la façon d'entrer une position sur un nouveau signal de modèle principal Une façon d'entrer dans un nouveau commerce de signal est de ne prendre que 13 position seulement après le marché trades par le prix de confirmation par quelques points. Après que la position initiale est prise, laissez le marché faire ce qu'il fait toute la journée. Alors, en fin de journée, si le marché confirme encore le signal, ajoutez la deuxième 13 position. Et à la fin, prenez la position finale. Votre prix d'entrée moyen sera supérieur au prix de confirmation mais les whips seront considérablement réduits. C'est une méthode que j'utilise très souvent pour moi. Une autre façon d'entrer une nouvelle position est d'attendre la confirmation réelle sur la fermeture, puis prendre la nouvelle position. La règle de Hoban est une stratégie exclusive de négociation exclusive qui utilise les signaux du modèle principal pour le commerce du marché SP seulement. En utilisant cette stratégie élimine tous les fouets et est recommandé d'être utilisé par ceux qui ne sont pas avertis du marché andor ou assez agile pour le commerce de style libre. 2) Le prix de confirmation pour le prochain signal doit être supérieur à 5 points par rapport à la date de clôture. Prix ​​de ce jour. 3) Aussi, vous pouvez entrer dans le commerce à tout moment après que le signal est confirmé si le marché revient à moins de 5 points du prix de confirmation de signal d'origine. Puisque vous ne connaissez pas encore le prix de confirmation pour le prochain signal à ce moment, vous pouvez soit prendre le commerce si le prix de clôture répond aux premiers critères, ou attendre le briefing en soirée pour cette information. Si vous avez pris le commerce sur les premiers critères et le briefing de la soirée confirmation inverse prix ne satisfait pas le deuxième critère, puis tout simplement fermer ce commerce. Ou, si vous n'avez pas pris le commerce et la séance d'information du soir satisfait les deuxièmes critères ainsi, puis prendre le commerce dans la session du soir ou dans le marché après les heures si youre trading d'un ETF du marché. Ou vous pouvez simplement prendre le métier le lendemain matin. Toutefois, si le prix de clôture est de 6 points ou plus à partir du prix de confirmation, alors ne prenez pas le commerce à ce moment, il suffit de rester plat. Afin de prendre le commerce lorsque le prix de clôture est de 6 points ou plus à partir du prix de confirmation: 1) Mettre une commande à terme pour entrer dans le commerce si le marché se déplace dans les 5 points du prix de confirmation. Pour quitter le métier: 1) Placez un arrêt de sortie 2 points au-delà du prochain prix de confirmation d'achat. Si elle est remplie, rester à plat et attendre que le prochain nouveau signal soit confirmé. 2) Si le prochain nouveau signal est confirmé, recommencez avec l'étape 1 en utilisant les deux critères d'entrée pour commencer la nouvelle position commerciale suivante. 3) Si le nouveau signal n'est pas confirmé, il suffit de rester à plat et d'attendre le prochain signal nouvellement confirmé pour commencer le prochain commerce à l'étape 1, ou tout simplement revenir à la position initiale à condition que le cours de clôture ce jour est à 6 points de Le prix de confirmation d'origine et le prix de confirmation inverse est au moins 5 points au-dessus de ce prix de clôture jours. 4) Très souvent, vous pouvez trouver le deuxième critère n'est pas remplie puisque le prix de confirmation inverse est inférieur à 5 points au-dessus du prix de clôture. Mais, à certaines occasions, un jour ou deux plus tard, le prix de confirmation inverse pourrait effectivement s'éloigner du marché et satisfait donc aux deuxièmes critères et satisfait ensuite aux deux critères préalables permettant une entrée à condition que le prix de clôture ne soit pas supérieur à 6 points du prix original de confirmation du modèle principal. En appliquant la règle Hoban pour vos positions commerciales basée sur les prix de confirmation buysell comme décrit ci-dessus, vous trouverez facile de suivre et avec moins de stress que d'essayer d'attraper le marché tout en ne sachant pas où il va réellement fermer. Et, de plus, tous les fouets d'intraday sont complètement éliminés. Règles pour le négoce BTIT automatique et optimal: N'UTILISEZ QUE LE GRAND CONTRAT POUR TOUS LES SIGNAUX 1) Entrez une nouvelle position sur un arrêt droit et utilisez un simple point de sortie de 10 points du prix d'entrée du signal BTIT pour le jour où la transaction est entrée. Par exemple: Si 2254.19 tourne le BTIT vers le bas, placez alors un stop de vente pour aller court à 2254.10 et placez également un arrêt d'achat de sortie à 2264.10 pour aller à plat. Ou, si 2254.19 tourne le BTIT vers le haut, place alors un arrêt d'achat pour aller longtemps à 2254.20 et place également un arrêt de vente de sortie à 2242.20 pour aller plat. 2) Si le signal n'est pas confirmé sur la fermeture et vous n'êtes pas arrêté, puis le fermer sur le marché et attendre le prochain signal. 3) Si le signal est confirmé à la fermeture, placez un arrêt de sortie pour chaque jour 2 points au-delà des jours suivants BTIT tourner au prix neutre énuméré dans le briefing soir ce soir-là. Par exemple: si vous êtes long et le 2258.43 tourne le BTIT au neutre, puis placez un stop de vente pour aller plat à 2256.40. Si vous êtes à court et le 2258.43 tourne le BTIT au neutre, puis placez un stop d'achat pour aller à plat à 2260.50. Il ne fait aucune différence ce que le marché fait après que, votre position BTIT serait plat, et puis attendre le prochain nouveau signal. Il n'y a rien à penser et rien à décider. 17 transactions complétées suivant ce format a généré 447.90 SP points de profit au cours des 16 derniers mois. Toutes les questions, il suffit de demander. Signaux BuySell rejetés Les signaux d'achat et / ou de vente rejetés sont généralement suivis d'un mouvement marqué du marché dans la direction opposée le lendemain, cela se produit en règle générale. Un signal de vente rejeté est généralement suivi le lendemain par un rallye aigu. Ainsi, un signal d'achat rejeté est généralement suivi le lendemain par une forte baisse. Cependant, si la forte rallydecline ne se produit pas, alors vous pouvez vous attendre à voir le marché faire une autre tentative à ce signal buysell. LE FLAT LINE INDICATEUR Le FLI est un outil pratique et facile à lire deux graphiques pour voir les tops et les fonds du marché à mesure qu'ils se produisent, le commerçant agile pourrait utiliser ce FLI chaque jour pour entrer dans une position commerciale basée uniquement sur les données de précision sur ce graphique, Ce graphique comprend 2 12 années de données de prix quotidiennes. Le FLI vous donnera plus de confiance lorsque vous prenez les signaux VP. Les lignes FLI sont codées par couleur pour une référence facile, il n'y a que trois lignes à suivre. Les lignes codées en couleur sont les suivantes: Ligne de prix - il s'agit du prix de clôture quotidien réel pour le contrat à terme de mois avant SP, ce prix est lu sur le côté gauche du graphique. Anti Ligne de prix - c'est le prix de l'ombre, c'est le prix requis pour le marché de fermer ce jour-là pour un changement de direction à se produire, ce prix est également lu sur le côté gauche du graphique. SP Flat Line - cette ligne montre la différence de points SP entre la ligne de prix et la ligne anti-prix (PL moins APL), cette ligne est lue sur le côté droit du graphique. Ligne de tendance plus large - cette ligne vous indique l'orientation plus large du marché. When reading this graph you will notice: 1. The flat line tops and bottoms occur right at the actual market price tops and bottoms. 2. when the price line crosses through the anti price line, then the flat line crosses through the zero value turning the flat line to neutral, and therefore the name flat line. 3. The flat line in the second graph crosses above and below the momentum line as a leading indicator ahead of the actual change in market direction. 4. The momentum line in the second graph tells you the markets strength of speed and you will notice how the flat line in that graph turns and crosses through the momentum line ahead of the market itself. 5. The optimal time to take a flat line trade position is when the flat line spike occurs simultaneously with a confirmed VP signal although this tool provides numerous other trade opportunities beyond the VP signals for the more aggressive trader. Study the relation ships between the three lines at your leisure and you will make these and additional observations which can be useful trading tools. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH The momentum line very closely correlates with the market price. The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks. NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS. There are no mistakes in your past if you learned from them. DONT IGNORE THE BTIT INDICATOR. IF YOURE HAVING DIFFICULTY WITH THE NEAR TERM VP SIGNALS, THEN TAKE A MORE SERIOUS LOOK AT THE BTIT INDICATOR INCLUDED AND UPDATED IN EACH AND EVERY EVENING BRIEFING, IT HAS AN IMPRESSIVE PERFORMANCE RECORD FOR LONGER TERM POSITIONS AND YOU DO NOT NEED TO WATCH THE MARKET SO CLOSELY. I USE IT MYSELF, ITS A VERY USER FRIENDLY SIGNAL. FOR YOUR REVIEW, THE COMPLETE BTIT OPTIMIZED TRADE SUMMARY FOR THE PAST 18 MONTHS IS ATTACHED TO THIS EMAIL IN WORD FORMAT. You can now follow The Vertical Funds trading action on Twitter theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets THE VERTICAL FUND real time performance since its inception on 93016 currently stands as of this past Friday with a net gain of -1.49. this will be updated each Monday in the evening briefing. the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the funds trading strategy as of 1417. A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF ALL MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience, please take the time to review it every now and then, a good working knowledge of these tools will make you a better and more informed investortrader. TOMORROWS SP TRADE STRATEGY: For Thursday, a close below 2250.70 in the MARCH contract would confirm a new main model sell signal. be sure to review the VP price map directly below for additional VP points that may trigger a buysell signal. For Hoban Rule traders, you are currently flat this market. enter a new short position with a close between 2245.70 and 2244.70. if filled, then place an exit stop to go flat at 2252.70. please familiarize yourself with the Hoban Rule entry strategy in case a signal is confirmed on a different VP mid day and how to enter a new position mid day using Rule 3, this easy entry strategy is explained in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing. of course, any questions, please just ask. Rationale: A VP at 2250.65. The last trade at this writing is at 2264.50 in the March. The main model is now long the March SP from 2241.10 as of Tuesday, January 3rd. It looks like an upside breakout may have started as of today. THE VP PRICE MAP FOR TOMORROW The VP map tells you everything you need to know, consult the map daily. knowing the map and the two key trading rules will make you a much more savvy trader, so it is extremely important to be familiar with the VP map. Secondary Vertical Prices (SVP) are for the aggressive trader who is looking for an additional edge on additional exhaustion points. you will notice that the market responds as well to the SVP as to the standard VP points and are traded the same, but for now the main model will use only the standard VP points for official main model signals. SP MARCH VP PRICES MAJOR - - 2296.61 and must close below that price on Friday, January 21st to confirm a new main model sell signal. MAJOR - - 2289.53 and must close below that price on Monday, January 23rd to confirm a new main model sell signal. MAJOR - - 2289.001 and must close below that price on Friday, January 27th to confirm a new main model sell signal. TODAYS CLOSING PRICE - - 2264.50 MAJOR - - 2143.001 and must close above that price on Wednesday, February 1st to confirm a new main model buy signal. The above price map is listed in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market. those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals. todays closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market. PLEASE NOTE: It is vitally important to know where the market is on this map at all times, the main model buy and sell signals are generated only from this VP map. the trade rules, which you probably already know by now, are very simple and are explained below. The Two Main Model Trade Rules: 1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal. 2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal. BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: UP as of 1417 The broader term intermediate trend (BTIT) bias is determined by the collective penetration of the most near term ceiling and floor prices. when ALL the near term ceiling prices have been penetrated on the close and none of the floor prices are penetrated, then the BTIT bias would be UP. when the reverse occurs, then the BTIT bias would be DOWN. the bias would turn to NEUTRAL when one or more of the ceilingfloor prices are penetrated on the close in the counter direction. when in NEUTRAL, the BTIT would again reinstate the most recent UP or DOWN trend bias upon the penetration and close of the nearest recent ceilingfloor. A close below 2235.56 would turn the BTIT to neutral. A close below 2229.37 would turn the BTIT to down. THE BTIT LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY A long position will be taken when the BTIT turns up and a short position when the BTIT turns down. when the BTIT turns neutral, the position is then closed and will remain flat. The BTIT optimized trading strategy is a reliable, valid, and profitable strategy designed for those who prefer a broader longer term trade position without close daily monitoring. the price swings are also significantly wider so caution is always highly advised and only a modest position should be taken for this strategy. The BTIT current trade position: Long from 2263.80 as of 1417 - - there are now 18 completed trades for a total gain of 445.10 SP points. VERY IMPORTANT: Please note, all price signals must be taken from the large contract and then the mini can be traded, the mini gives too many false signals. therefore, the following instructions apply only for the large contract. so, get the signal from the large contract and then trade the mini on that large contract signal. you can take the large contract signal and then trade any SP based ETF on that signal. BTIT Trade Instructions For Tomorrow: For the BTIT trader, you are now long from 2263.80. place a sell stop to go flat at 2233.50, thats 2 points below the flat price. place a sell stop to go short at 2229.30, and if filled place a buy stop to go flat at 2239.30. FOR YOUR REVIEW, THE COMPLETE BTIT OPTIMIZED TRADE SUMMARY FOR THE PAST 18 MONTHS IS ATTACHED TO THIS EMAIL IN WORD FORMAT. THE MEGA TREND INDICATOR (MTI) - - UP as of 72916 This is a front loaded comparative month by month trading range and weighted average rate of change of the most recent 11 and 14 months and is calculated on the last market day of each month. A monthly close for January below 2119.36 would turn the MTI to neutral. A monthly close for January below 1926.10 would turn the MTI to down. The MTI current trade position: Long from 2168.20, the closing price on 72916. This models buy signal is based on the Coppock Curve and has been back tested to 1914 with the DJIA. there have been a total of 22 previous buy signals over the past 102 years since 1914. of the 22 previous buy signals, only two false signals were given, they were given in October, 1938 and in January, 1948. this is a 90.9 accuracy rate since 1914. realize, this is a monthly indicator and these markets can move widely in both directions during mid month. Are you having difficulty finding an entry point for a new signal. Consider the Hoban Rule, even a child could follow the simple rules. I use it myself when the opportunity presents itself. also, look at the 13 Rule for easy position entry with much less risk. The Hoban Rule will not catch all trades, but will also not incur any entry whips on the entry of any new main model signals. this reliable and profitable strategy is presented here with each briefing only as a possible strategy option, one can use any trading strategy or any combination of strategies with the Hoban Rule that fits ones personal trading disposition. please review some of the other trading strategies in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing. the Hoban Rule can be used with any other additional trading strategies that fit your disposition and comfort level. I prefer to combine the Hoban Rule with the 13 Rule for more active market participation. The Hoban Rule Performance History: The Hoban Rule was introduced to the evening briefing on 9414. since that time, this strategy has now completed 38 trades for a net gain of 259.80 SP points. this is a simple but elegant strategy for anyone who prefers a less challenging trade plan based on the main model signals. of course, past performance is never a guarantee of future success, but this particular trading strategy has an impressive history and is well worth considering if you have difficulty taking the best advantage of the main model signals. if you would like to see the trade by trade score sheet for the Hoban Rule, just ask me for it and I will email it to you. THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing. this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing. the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. since its inception on July, 2015 the funds real time simulator performance shows a gross gain of 62.05. THE VERTICAL FUND real time performance since its inception on 93016 currently stands as of this past Friday with a net gain of -1.49. this will be updated each Monday in the evening briefing. the BTIT optimized trading method is now included in the funds trading strategy as of 1417. You can now follow The Vertical Funds trading action on Twitter theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets IF YOU PREFER A LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY WITHOUT THE FREQUENT VP INS AND OUTS AND ALL THAT MID DAY MARKET NOISE, THEN YOU MAY WELL CONSIDER THE BTIT INDICATOR OR THE LT INDICATOR TRADING METHOD FOR LONGER TERM POSITION TRADING. CHECK THE TUTORIAL BELOW TO LEARN HOW TO USE THESE METHODS EFFECTIVELY. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR The momentum line continues lower, but is no longer overbought. also, the flat line has turned higher where previous market lows have occurred. the market price and the anti price are now moving closer, this is bullish. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR THE SP: The only fly in the ointment is this momentum line, but if you notice, the line has turned nearly flat as of today, we could see it more higher even though it never left the overbought zone. The FEBRUARY Gold futures BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: DOWN since 112316 A close above 1331.11 would turn the BTIT to up. A close above 1200.11 would turn the BTIT to neutral. The main model is now long the February gold from 1133.30 as of Tuesday, December 27th. TOMORROWS GOLD TRADE STRATEGY: For Thursday, a close below 1142.70 in the February Gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal. also, please review and consult daily with the VP Price Map for any and all main model mid day buysell revisions and updates. tomorrows trade strategy is always subject to revision based on the VP Price Map, so it is extremely important to be familiar with this map listed below. (the Hoban Rule was expressly designed for the SP market and no other market at this time) Rationale: A key floor price at 1142.603. This market came close to the next overhead VP, but it never touched it. GOLD FEBRUARY VP PRICES MAJOR - - 1190.27 and must close below that price on Wednesday, January 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal. TODAYS CLOSING PRICE - - 1164.80 Key floor price - - 1142.603 MAJOR - - (none) and must close above that price on (none) to confirm a new main model buy signal. The above is a price map in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market. those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals. todays closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market. The Two Main Model Trade Rules: 1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal. 2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal. Flat Line Indicator (FLI) for GLD. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR HAS BEEN SET FOR TRACKING GLD AND NOT THE FUTURES GOLD MARKET SINCE THE GLD ETF MARKET SHOWS A MORE LIQUID PATTERN. ALL THE MAIN MODEL SIGNALS FOR THE GOLD FUTURES MARKET WILL STILL REMAIN THE SAME. The flat line turned slightly lower today while gold was actually modestly higher. this suggests a pull back for this market tomorrow. its not a must, but it does suggest it, you can actually draw a downward trend line from the most recent three high peaks of the flat line. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR GOLD: The LT momentum line is moving higher very nicely, but near term we can see from the flat line charts that this market may be getting a bit tired. The Main Model Formula The main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach complete buying andor selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about it. This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming the trend. also, at those VP points, the market is the most vulnerable to a legitimate trend change. USE ONLY THE LARGE SP FUTURES CONTRACT FOR ALL SIGNALS, THE MINI CONTRACT WILL GIVE YOU FALSE SIGNALS. AND THEN, ONCE A SIGNAL IS TRIGGERED (AND CONFIRMED), THEN YOU CAN TRADE ANY OTHER MARKET FROM THAT SIGNAL. Its always wise to hold only a light position in order to tolerate the wild price action of this market. also, if youre not nimble with these markets, then you may want to wait until the market closes for the day to be sure that any new signal is confirmed, this will eliminate all possible mid day whips. to be safer overnight, consider using an exit stop for capital preservation. Also, trailing stops are completely individual, it is presume that subscribers would have their own personal strategy on how and when to enter and exit the trade, these market can often be vicious. the VP points tell you where and if the market is about to move in one or another direction. for myself, I like to take profits at any time I get the sense Im satisfied, I dont need to ride out every signal all the way to the last stop, its really not necessary. Also, if youre having difficulty with these markets, I strongly urge that you consider a combination of the Hoban Rule and the 13 Rule to enter the trade positions, or just wait until the next morning to find a comfortable place to enter the trade, theres never a hurry. this will eliminate all whips. BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS: The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price. also, use only the large contract for all official main model signals, the mini contract will give you false signals. The Confirmation Price The confirmation price is a specific market price beyond which the market must close in order to confirm a new main model buy or sell signal. the confirmation price is not a top or bottom picker, it is not designed to get you into a new position right at, or near, the top or bottom tick. but rather, it tells you that the trend has more than likely changed direction with a high degree of reliability. as has been demonstrated with better than a 98 reliability, the confirmation price confirms that the market trend has legitimately changed direction and that a new trend has just begun. very often, a buy confirmation price may seem so far above the market that taking a new long position at that high level seems risky. the same can be said for taking a new short position at a sell confirmation price. but factually, these price points are the most ideal place to enter a new position since these confirmation prices occur where most people are likely to take new erroneous positions in the trend that is just ending. this is why the market moves so explosively after the price is confirmed, e. g. the new short holders are scrambling to cover or the new dip buyers are selling out rapidly. The NT Indicator The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades. the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days. using a weather analogy, the buysell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop. if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action. How To Read The NT Indicator The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade. The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price. however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buyingselling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely. VP prices behave like magnets, they attract the market price, and when the price touches the VP point, then the polarity reverses and repels price. all this market ever does is ping pong between VP prices. The main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach complete buying andor selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about it. This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming the trend. also, at those VP points, the market is the most vulnerable to a legitimate trend change. Therefore, when the market trades through those VP points and then backs away and closes on the other side of it again, there is a very high likelihood of a trend reversal at that time. these VP point are like magnets, they pull and attract the price until the VP is reached, and then upon reaching the VP it then reverses polarity and repels price. at that point, the market can back away and confirm a new trend signal or return to the VP and resume the original trend. this is where the main model determines the buy and sell confirmation prices. The FloorCeiling Price The floor price is always there in a down trend, the ceiling price is always there in an up trend. these specific prices are rarely mentioned because the market rarely reaches them. these are not VP prices but can be treated the same as a VP price except floor and ceiling prices change every day while the VP price does not. a close beyond the floorceiling price should be considered a second buy or sell confirmation signal. How To Read The VP Price If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesnt return, then this typically indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend. repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over. A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 13 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points. after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day. then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 13 position. and then, on the close take the final 13 position. your average entry price will be abovebelow the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced. this is a method I use for myself very often. Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position. The Hoban Rule is an exclusive proprietary trading strategy that uses the main model signals to trade the SP market only. using this strategy eliminates all whips and is recommended to be used by those who are not market savvy andor nimble enough to trade free style. To take the trade, these two prerequisite criteria must be met: 1) The closing price on confirmation day must be within 6 points of the confirmation price, and 2) The confirmation price for the next signal must be more than 5 points from the closing price of that day. 3) Also, you may enter the trade anytime after the signal is confirmed if the market comes back to within 5 points of the original signal confirmation price. Since you dont yet know the confirmation price for the next signal at that moment, you can either take the trade if the closing price meets the first criteria, or wait for the evening briefing for that information. if you took the trade on the first criteria and the evening briefing reverse confirmation price does not satisfy the second criteria, then simply close out that trade. or, if you did not take the trade and the evening briefing satisfies the second criteria as well, then take the trade in the evening session or in the after hours market if youre trading a market ETF. or you can simply take the trade the following morning. However, if the closing price is 6 points or more from the confirmation price, then do not take the trade at that time, just stay flat. In order to take the trade when the closing price is 6 points or more from the confirmation price: 1) Place a limit order to enter the trade whenif the market moves within 5 points of the confirmation price. To exit the trade: 1) Place an exit stop 2 points beyond the next buysell confirmation price. if filled, then stay flat and wait for the next new signal to be confirmed. 2) If the next new signal is confirmed, then begin again with step 1 using the two entry criteria to begin the next new trade position. 3) If the new signal is not confirmed, simply stay flat and wait for the next newly confirmed signal to begin the next trade at step 1, or simply re-enter the original position provided that the closing price that day is within 6 points of the original confirmation price and the reverse confirmation price is at least 5 points above that days closing price. 4) Very often, you may find the second criteria is not met since the reverse confirmation price is less than 5 points above the closing price. but, on some occasions, a day or two later, the reverse confirmation price could actually move away from the market and would therefore meet the second criteria and subsequently satisfy both prerequisite criteria allowing for an entry provided that days closing price is still no more than 6 points from the original main model confirmation price. Applying The Hoban Rule for your trade positions based on the buysell confirmation prices as described above, you will find it easy to follow and with less stress than trying to catch the market while not knowing where it will actually close. and, also, all intraday entry whips are completely eliminated. Rules for automatic and optimal BTIT trading: USE ONLY THE LARGE CONTRACT FOR ALL SIGNALS 1) Enter a new position on a straight stop and use a simple 10 point exit stop from the BTIT signal entry price for the day the trade is entered. For example: If 2254.19 turns the BTIT down, then place a sell stop to go short at 2254.10 and also place an exit buy stop at 2264.10 to go flat. or, if 2254.19 turns the BTIT up, then place a buy stop to go long at 2254.20 and also place an exit sell stop at 2242.20 to go flat. 2) If the signal is not confirmed on the close and youre not stopped out, then close it out at the market and wait for the next signal. 3) If the signal is confirmed on the close, then place an exit stop for each day 2 points beyond the next days BTIT turn to neutral price listed in the evening briefing that evening. For Example: if youre long and the 2258.43 turns the BTIT to neutral, then place a sell stop to go flat at 2256.40. if youre short and the 2258.43 turns the BTIT to neutral, then place a buy stop to go flat at 2260.50. it makes no difference what the market does after that, your BTIT position would be flat, and then wait for the next new signal. there is nothing to think about and nothing to decide. 17 completed trades following this format has generated 447.90 SP points profit over the past 16 months. any questions, just ask. Rejected BuySell Signals Rejected buy andor sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule. a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally. as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline. however, if the sharp rallydecline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buysell signal. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR The FLI is a handy and easy to read two graph tool to see market tops and bottoms as they occur, the nimble trader could use this FLI each day to enter a trade position based only on the precision data on this graph, this graph includes 2 12 years of daily price data. The FLI will give you more confidence when taking the VP signals. The FLI lines are color coded for easy reference, there are only three lines to follow. The color coded lines are: Price Line - this is the actual daily closing price for the SP front month futures contract, this price is read on the left side of the graph. Anti Price Line - this is the shadow price, this is the price required for the market to close that day for a change in direction to occur, this price is also read on the left side of the graph. SP Flat Line - this line shows the difference in SP points between the Price Line and the Anti Price Line (PL minus APL), this line is read on the right side of the graph. Broader Trend Line - this line tells you the broader direction of the market. When reading this graph you will notice: 1. The flat line tops and bottoms occur right at the actual market price tops and bottoms. 2. when the price line crosses through the anti price line, then the flat line crosses through the zero value turning the flat line to neutral, and therefore the name flat line. 3. The flat line in the second graph crosses above and below the momentum line as a leading indicator ahead of the actual change in market direction. 4. The momentum line in the second graph tells you the markets strength of speed and you will notice how the flat line in that graph turns and crosses through the momentum line ahead of the market itself. 5. The optimal time to take a flat line trade position is when the flat line spike occurs simultaneously with a confirmed VP signal although this tool provides numerous other trade opportunities beyond the VP signals for the more aggressive trader. Study the relation ships between the three lines at your leisure and you will make these and additional observations which can be useful trading tools. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH The momentum line very closely correlates with the market price. The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks. NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS. Enlightenment is egos ultimate disappointment. DONT IGNORE THE BTIT INDICATOR. IF YOURE HAVING DIFFICULTY WITH THE NEAR TERM VP SIGNALS, THEN TAKE A MORE SERIOUS LOOK AT THE BTIT INDICATOR INCLUDED AND UPDATED IN EACH AND EVERY EVENING BRIEFING, IT HAS AN IMPRESSIVE PERFORMANCE RECORD FOR LONGER TERM POSITIONS AND YOU DO NOT NEED TO WATCH THE MARKET SO CLOSELY. I USE IT MYSELF, ITS A VERY USER FRIENDLY SIGNAL. You can now follow The Vertical Funds trading action on Twitter theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets THE VERTICAL FUND real time performance since its inception on 93016 currently stands as of this past Friday with a net gain of -.39. this will be updated each Monday in the evening briefing. A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience, please take the time to review it every now and then, a good working knowledge of these tools will make you a better and more informed investortrader. TOMORROWS SP TRADE STRATEGY: For Wednesday, a close below 2250.70 in the MARCH contract would confirm a new main model sell signal. be sure to review the VP price map directly below for additional VP points that may trigger a buysell signal. For Hoban Rule traders, you are currently flat this market. enter a new short position with a close between 2245.70 and 2244.70. if filled, then place an exit stop to go flat at 2252.70. please familiarize yourself with the Hoban Rule entry strategy in case a signal is confirmed on a different VP mid day and how to enter a new position mid day using Rule 3, this easy entry strategy is explained in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing. of course, any questions, please just ask. Rationale: A VP at 2250.65. The last trade at this writing is at 2252.50 in the March. The main model is now long the March SP from 2241.10 as of Tuesday, January 3rd. This market is extremely volatile and bouncing between VP point regularly. THE VP PRICE MAP FOR TOMORROW The VP map tells you everything you need to know, consult the map daily. knowing the map and the two key trading rules will make you a much more savvy trader, so it is extremely important to be familiar with the VP map. Secondary Vertical Prices (SVP) are for the aggressive trader who is looking for an additional edge on additional exhaustion points. you will notice that the market responds as well to the SVP as to the standard VP points and are traded the same, but for now the main model will use only the standard VP points for official main model signals. SP MARCH VP PRICES MAJOR - - 2296.61 and must close below that price on Friday, January 21st to confirm a new main model sell signal. MAJOR - - 2289.53 and must close below that price on Monday, January 23rd to confirm a new main model sell signal. MAJOR - - 2289.001 and must close below that price on Friday, January 27th to confirm a new main model sell signal. TODAYS CLOSING PRICE - - 2252.50 MAJOR - - 2243.12 and must close above that price on Thursday, January 5th to confirm a new main model buy signal. MAJOR - - 2228.63 and must close above that price on Friday, January 6th to confirm a new main model buy signal. MAJOR - - 2143.001 and must close above that price on Wednesday, February 1st to confirm a new main model buy signal. The above price map is listed in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market. those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals. todays closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market. PLEASE NOTE: It is vitally important to know where the market is on this map at all times, the main model buy and sell signals are generated only from this VP map. the trade rules, which you probably already know by now, are very simple and are explained below. The Two Main Model Trade Rules: 1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal. 2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal. BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: NEUTRAL as of 1317 The broader term intermediate trend (BTIT) bias is determined by the collective penetration of the most near term ceiling and floor prices. when ALL the near term ceiling prices have been penetrated on the close and none of the floor prices are penetrated, then the BTIT bias would be UP. when the reverse occurs, then the BTIT bias would be DOWN. the bias would turn to NEUTRAL when one or more of the ceilingfloor prices are penetrated on the close in the counter direction. when in NEUTRAL, the BTIT would again reinstate the most recent UP or DOWN trend bias upon the penetration and close of the nearest recent ceilingfloor. A close above 2263.78 would turn the BTIT to up. A close below 2228.94 would turn the BTIT to down. THE BTIT LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY A long position will be taken when the BTIT turns up and a short position when the BTIT turns down. when the BTIT turns neutral, the position is then closed and will remain flat. The BTIT optimized trading strategy is a reliable, valid, and profitable strategy designed for those who prefer a broader longer term trade position without close daily monitoring. the price swings are also significantly wider so caution is always highly advised and only a modest position should be taken for this strategy. The BTIT current trade position: Flat from 2255.40 as of 1317 - - there are now 18 completed trades for a total gain of 445.10 SP points. VERY IMPORTANT: Please note, all price signals must be taken from the large contract and then the mini can be traded, the mini gives too many false signals. therefore, the following instructions apply only for the large contract. so, get the signal from the large contract and then trade the mini on that large contract signal. you can take the large contract signal and then trade any SP based ETF on that signal. BTIT Trade Instructions For Tomorrow: For the BTIT trader, you are now flat from 2255.40. place a buy stop to go long at 2263.80. if filled place a sell stop to go flat at 2253.80. THE MEGA TREND INDICATOR (MTI) - - UP as of 72916 This is a front loaded comparative month by month trading range and weighted average rate of change of the most recent 11 and 14 months and is calculated on the last market day of each month. A monthly close for January below 2119.36 would turn the MTI to neutral. A monthly close for January below 1926.10 would turn the MTI to down. The MTI current trade position: Long from 2168.20, the closing price on 72916. This models buy signal is based on the Coppock Curve and has been back tested to 1914 with the DJIA. there have been a total of 22 previous buy signals over the past 102 years since 1914. of the 22 previous buy signals, only two false signals were given, they were given in October, 1938 and in January, 1948. this is a 90.9 accuracy rate since 1914. realize, this is a monthly indicator and these markets can move widely in both directions during mid month. Are you having difficulty finding an entry point for a new signal. Consider the Hoban Rule, even a child could follow the simple rules. I use it myself when the opportunity presents itself. also, look at the 13 Rule for easy position entry with much less risk. The Hoban Rule will not catch all trades, but will also not incur any entry whips on the entry of any new main model signals. this reliable and profitable strategy is presented here with each briefing only as a possible strategy option, one can use any trading strategy or any combination of strategies with the Hoban Rule that fits ones personal trading disposition. please review some of the other trading strategies in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing. the Hoban Rule can be used with any other additional trading strategies that fit your disposition and comfort level. I prefer to combine the Hoban Rule with the 13 Rule for more active market participation. The Hoban Rule Performance History: The Hoban Rule was introduced to the evening briefing on 9414. since that time, this strategy has now completed 38 trades for a net gain of 259.80 SP points. this is a simple but elegant strategy for anyone who prefers a less challenging trade plan based on the main model signals. of course, past performance is never a guarantee of future success, but this particular trading strategy has an impressive history and is well worth considering if you have difficulty taking the best advantage of the main model signals. if you would like to see the trade by trade score sheet for the Hoban Rule, just ask me for it and I will email it to you. THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing. this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing. the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. since its inception on July, 2015 the funds real time simulator performance shows a gross gain of 62.05. THE VERTICAL FUND real time performance since its inception on 93016 currently stands as of this past Friday with a net gain of -.39. this will be updated each Monday in the evening briefing. You can now follow The Vertical Funds trading action on Twitter theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets The NT (Near Term) indicator The NT indicator continues lower today despite a higher market. this indicator is working off some very bullish numbers from last week, so I dont see this as a problem right now. we may have one more day of bullish numbers that need to be undone. IF YOU PREFER A LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY WITHOUT THE FREQUENT VP INS AND OUTS AND ALL THAT MID DAY MARKET NOISE, THEN YOU MAY WELL CONSIDER THE BTIT INDICATOR OR THE LT INDICATOR TRADING METHOD FOR LONGER TERM POSITION TRADING. CHECK THE TUTORIAL BELOW TO LEARN HOW TO USE THESE METHODS EFFECTIVELY. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR While the momentum line continues lower, the flat line is now in the vicinity where a market move higher typically begins. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR THE SP: Frankly, this momentum line is still overbought and moving downward, but we can see at previous momentum line tops where the market still works higher. so, well see. The FEBRUARY Gold futures BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: DOWN since 112316 A close above 1331.11 would turn the BTIT to up. A close above 1200.11 would turn the BTIT to neutral. The main model is now long the February gold from 1133.30 as of Tuesday, December 27th. TOMORROWS GOLD TRADE STRATEGY: For Wednesday, a close below 1142.70 in the February Gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal. also, please review and consult daily with the VP Price Map for any and all main model mid day buysell revisions and updates. tomorrows trade strategy is always subject to revision based on the VP Price Map, so it is extremely important to be familiar with this map listed below. (the Hoban Rule was expressly designed for the SP market and no other market at this time) Rationale: A key floor price at 1142.603. GOLD FEBRUARY VP PRICES MAJOR - - 1190.27 and must close below that price on Wednesday, January 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal. TODAYS CLOSING PRICE - - 1160.20 Key floor price - - 1142.603 MAJOR - - (none) and must close above that price on (none) to confirm a new main model buy signal. The above is a price map in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market. those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals. todays closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market. The Two Main Model Trade Rules: 1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal. 2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal. Flat Line Indicator (FLI) for GLD. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR HAS BEEN SET FOR TRACKING GLD AND NOT THE FUTURES GOLD MARKET SINCE THE GLD ETF MARKET SHOWS A MORE LIQUID PATTERN. ALL THE MAIN MODEL SIGNALS FOR THE GOLD FUTURES MARKET WILL STILL REMAIN THE SAME. So far so good, this market is a surprise, now it continues higher, although take a look at the flat line, its now entering the overbought zone. so, be careful. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR GOLD: An impressive momentum line here, from a deeply oversold level this momentum line continues higher without flinching. The Main Model Formula The main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach complete buying andor selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about it. This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming the trend. also, at those VP points, the market is the most vulnerable to a legitimate trend change. USE ONLY THE LARGE SP FUTURES CONTRACT FOR ALL SIGNALS, THE MINI CONTRACT WILL GIVE YOU FALSE SIGNALS. AND THEN, ONCE A SIGNAL IS TRIGGERED (AND CONFIRMED), THEN YOU CAN TRADE ANY OTHER MARKET FROM THAT SIGNAL. Its always wise to hold only a light position in order to tolerate the wild price action of this market. also, if youre not nimble with these markets, then you may want to wait until the market closes for the day to be sure that any new signal is confirmed, this will eliminate all possible mid day whips. to be safer overnight, consider using an exit stop for capital preservation. Also, trailing stops are completely individual, it is presume that subscribers would have their own personal strategy on how and when to enter and exit the trade, these market can often be vicious. the VP points tell you where and if the market is about to move in one or another direction. for myself, I like to take profits at any time I get the sense Im satisfied, I dont need to ride out every signal all the way to the last stop, its really not necessary. Also, if youre having difficulty with these markets, I strongly urge that you consider a combination of the Hoban Rule and the 13 Rule to enter the trade positions, or just wait until the next morning to find a comfortable place to enter the trade, theres never a hurry. this will eliminate all whips. BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS: The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price. also, use only the large contract for all official main model signals, the mini contract will give you false signals. The Confirmation Price The confirmation price is a specific market price beyond which the market must close in order to confirm a new main model buy or sell signal. the confirmation price is not a top or bottom picker, it is not designed to get you into a new position right at, or near, the top or bottom tick. but rather, it tells you that the trend has more than likely changed direction with a high degree of reliability. as has been demonstrated with better than a 98 reliability, the confirmation price confirms that the market trend has legitimately changed direction and that a new trend has just begun. very often, a buy confirmation price may seem so far above the market that taking a new long position at that high level seems risky. the same can be said for taking a new short position at a sell confirmation price. but factually, these price points are the most ideal place to enter a new position since these confirmation prices occur where most people are likely to take new erroneous positions in the trend that is just ending. this is why the market moves so explosively after the price is confirmed, e. g. the new short holders are scrambling to cover or the new dip buyers are selling out rapidly. The NT Indicator The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades. the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days. using a weather analogy, the buysell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop. if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action. How To Read The NT Indicator The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade. The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price. however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buyingselling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely. VP prices behave like magnets, they attract the market price, and when the price touches the VP point, then the polarity reverses and repels price. all this market ever does is ping pong between VP prices. The main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach complete buying andor selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about it. This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming the trend. also, at those VP points, the market is the most vulnerable to a legitimate trend change. Therefore, when the market trades through those VP points and then backs away and closes on the other side of it again, there is a very high likelihood of a trend reversal at that time. these VP point are like magnets, they pull and attract the price until the VP is reached, and then upon reaching the VP it then reverses polarity and repels price. at that point, the market can back away and confirm a new trend signal or return to the VP and resume the original trend. this is where the main model determines the buy and sell confirmation prices. The FloorCeiling Price The floor price is always there in a down trend, the ceiling price is always there in an up trend. these specific prices are rarely mentioned because the market rarely reaches them. these are not VP prices but can be treated the same as a VP price except floor and ceiling prices change every day while the VP price does not. a close beyond the floorceiling price should be considered a second buy or sell confirmation signal. How To Read The VP Price If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesnt return, then this typically indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend. repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over. A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 13 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points. after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day. then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 13 position. and then, on the close take the final 13 position. your average entry price will be abovebelow the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced. this is a method I use for myself very often. Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position. The Hoban Rule is an exclusive proprietary trading strategy that uses the main model signals to trade the SP market only. using this strategy eliminates all whips and is recommended to be used by those who are not market savvy andor nimble enough to trade free style. To take the trade, these two prerequisite criteria must be met: 1) The closing price on confirmation day must be within 6 points of the confirmation price, and 2) The confirmation price for the next signal must be more than 5 points from the closing price of that day. 3) Also, you may enter the trade anytime after the signal is confirmed if the market comes back to within 5 points of the original signal confirmation price. Since you dont yet know the confirmation price for the next signal at that moment, you can either take the trade if the closing price meets the first criteria, or wait for the evening briefing for that information. if you took the trade on the first criteria and the evening briefing reverse confirmation price does not satisfy the second criteria, then simply close out that trade. or, if you did not take the trade and the evening briefing satisfies the second criteria as well, then take the trade in the evening session or in the after hours market if youre trading a market ETF. or you can simply take the trade the following morning. However, if the closing price is 6 points or more from the confirmation price, then do not take the trade at that time, just stay flat. In order to take the trade when the closing price is 6 points or more from the confirmation price: 1) Place a limit order to enter the trade whenif the market moves within 5 points of the confirmation price. To exit the trade: 1) Place an exit stop 2 points beyond the next buysell confirmation price. if filled, then stay flat and wait for the next new signal to be confirmed. 2) If the next new signal is confirmed, then begin again with step 1 using the two entry criteria to begin the next new trade position. 3) If the new signal is not confirmed, simply stay flat and wait for the next newly confirmed signal to begin the next trade at step 1, or simply re-enter the original position provided that the closing price that day is within 6 points of the original confirmation price and the reverse confirmation price is at least 5 points above that days closing price. 4) Very often, you may find the second criteria is not met since the reverse confirmation price is less than 5 points above the closing price. but, on some occasions, a day or two later, the reverse confirmation price could actually move away from the market and would therefore meet the second criteria and subsequently satisfy both prerequisite criteria allowing for an entry provided that days closing price is still no more than 6 points from the original main model confirmation price. Applying The Hoban Rule for your trade positions based on the buysell confirmation prices as described above, you will find it easy to follow and with less stress than trying to catch the market while not knowing where it will actually close. and, also, all intraday entry whips are completely eliminated. Rules for automatic and optimal BTIT trading: USE ONLY THE LARGE CONTRACT FOR ALL SIGNALS 1) Enter a new position on a straight stop and use a simple 10 point exit stop from the BTIT signal entry price for the day the trade is entered. For example: If 2254.19 turns the BTIT down, then place a sell stop to go short at 2254.10 and also place an exit buy stop at 2264.10 to go flat. or, if 2254.19 turns the BTIT up, then place a buy stop to go long at 2254.20 and also place an exit sell stop at 2242.20 to go flat. 2) If the signal is not confirmed on the close and youre not stopped out, then close it out at the market and wait for the next signal. 3) If the signal is confirmed on the close, then place an exit stop for each day 2 points beyond the next days BTIT turn to neutral price listed in the evening briefing that evening. For Example: if youre long and the 2258.43 turns the BTIT to neutral, then place a sell stop to go flat at 2256.40. if youre short and the 2258.43 turns the BTIT to neutral, then place a buy stop to go flat at 2260.50. it makes no difference what the market does after that, your BTIT position would be flat, and then wait for the next new signal. there is nothing to think about and nothing to decide. 17 completed trades following this format has generated 447.90 SP points profit over the past 16 months. any questions, just ask. Rejected BuySell Signals Rejected buy andor sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule. a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally. as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline. however, if the sharp rallydecline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buysell signal. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR The FLI is a handy and easy to read two graph tool to see market tops and bottoms as they occur, the nimble trader could use this FLI each day to enter a trade position based only on the precision data on this graph, this graph includes 2 12 years of daily price data. The FLI will give you more confidence when taking the VP signals. The FLI lines are color coded for easy reference, there are only three lines to follow. The color coded lines are: Price Line - this is the actual daily closing price for the SP front month futures contract, this price is read on the left side of the graph. Anti Price Line - this is the shadow price, this is the price required for the market to close that day for a change in direction to occur, this price is also read on the left side of the graph. SP Flat Line - this line shows the difference in SP points between the Price Line and the Anti Price Line (PL minus APL), this line is read on the right side of the graph. Broader Trend Line - this line tells you the broader direction of the market. When reading this graph you will notice: 1. The flat line tops and bottoms occur right at the actual market price tops and bottoms. 2. when the price line crosses through the anti price line, then the flat line crosses through the zero value turning the flat line to neutral, and therefore the name flat line. 3. The flat line in the second graph crosses above and below the momentum line as a leading indicator ahead of the actual change in market direction. 4. The momentum line in the second graph tells you the markets strength of speed and you will notice how the flat line in that graph turns and crosses through the momentum line ahead of the market itself. 5. The optimal time to take a flat line trade position is when the flat line spike occurs simultaneously with a confirmed VP signal although this tool provides numerous other trade opportunities beyond the VP signals for the more aggressive trader. Study the relation ships between the three lines at your leisure and you will make these and additional observations which can be useful trading tools. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH The momentum line very closely correlates with the market price. The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks. NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS. Make things as simple as possible, but not simpler. THE MARKETS WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY TO OBSERVE NEWS YEARS DAY AND WILL REOPEN ON TUESDAY. HERES WISHING EACH AND EVERY ONE OF YOU A HAPPY NEW YEAR AND MAY ALL YOUR DREAMS COME TRUE IN 2017. DONT IGNORE THE BTIT INDICATOR. IF YOURE HAVING DIFFICULTY WITH THE NEAR TERM VP SIGNALS, THEN TAKE A MORE SERIOUS LOOK AT THE BTIT INDICATOR INCLUDED AND UPDATED IN EACH AND EVERY EVENING BRIEFING, IT HAS AN IMPRESSIVE PERFORMANCE RECORD FOR LONGER TERM POSITIONS AND YOU DO NOT NEED TO WATCH THE MARKET SO CLOSELY. I USE IT MYSELF, ITS A VERY USER FRIENDLY SIGNAL. You can now follow The Vertical Funds trading action on Twitter theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets THE VERTICAL FUND real time performance since its inception on 93016 currently stands as of this past Friday with a net gain of -.39. this will be updated each Monday in the evening briefing. A BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS can be found at the bottom of every email briefing for your easy quick reference and convenience, please take the time to review it every now and then, a good working knowledge of these tools will make you a better and more informed investortrader. TOMORROWS SP TRADE STRATEGY: For Tuesday, a close above 2241.10 in the MARCH contract would confirm a new main model buy signal. be sure to review the VP price map directly below for additional VP points that may trigger a buysell signal. For Hoban Rule traders, you are currently flat this market after being stopped out. enter a new long position with a close between 2246.10 and 2247.10. if filled, then place an exit stop to go flat at 2239.10. please familiarize yourself with the Hoban Rule entry strategy in case a signal is confirmed on a different VP mid day and how to enter a new position mid day using Rule 3, this easy entry strategy is explained in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing. of course, any questions, please just ask. Rationale: A VP at 2241.18. The last trade at this writing is at 2235.00 in the March. The main model is now short the March SP from 2250.70 as of Friday, December 30th. This market rallied above the 2250.65 VP early in the day and then sold down without looking back. the mini contract did trade below the next lower VP, but all signals are taken from the large contract since the mini very often gives false signals. THE VP PRICE MAP FOR TOMORROW The VP map tells you everything you need to know, consult the map daily. knowing the map and the two key trading rules will make you a much more savvy trader, so it is extremely important to be familiar with the VP map. Secondary Vertical Prices (SVP) are for the aggressive trader who is looking for an additional edge on additional exhaustion points. you will notice that the market responds as well to the SVP as to the standard VP points and are traded the same, but for now the main model will use only the standard VP points for official main model signals. SP MARCH VP PRICES MAJOR - - 2283.705 and must close below that price on Thursday, January 19th to confirm a new main model sell signal. MAJOR - - 2284.46 and must close below that price on Friday, January 13th to confirm a new main model sell signal. MAJOR - - 2243.12 and must close above that price on Thursday, January 5th to confirm a new main model buy signal. TODAYS CLOSING PRICE - - 2235.00 MAJOR - - 2228.63 and must close above that price on Friday, January 6th to confirm a new main model buy signal. MAJOR - - 2143.001 and must close above that price on Wednesday, February 1st to confirm a new main model buy signal. The above price map is listed in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market. those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals. todays closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market. PLEASE NOTE: It is vitally important to know where the market is on this map at all times, the main model buy and sell signals are generated only from this VP map. the trade rules, which you probably already know by now, are very simple and are explained below. The Two Main Model Trade Rules: 1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal. 2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal. BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: DOWN as of 122816 The broader term intermediate trend (BTIT) bias is determined by the collective penetration of the most near term ceiling and floor prices. when ALL the near term ceiling prices have been penetrated on the close and none of the floor prices are penetrated, then the BTIT bias would be UP. when the reverse occurs, then the BTIT bias would be DOWN. the bias would turn to NEUTRAL when one or more of the ceilingfloor prices are penetrated on the close in the counter direction. when in NEUTRAL, the BTIT would again reinstate the most recent UP or DOWN trend bias upon the penetration and close of the nearest recent ceilingfloor. A close above 2264.98 would turn the BTIT to up. A close above 2255.37 would turn the BTIT to neutral. THE BTIT LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY A long position will be taken when the BTIT turns up and a short position when the BTIT turns down. when the BTIT turns neutral, the position is then closed and will remain flat. The BTIT optimized trading strategy is a reliable, valid, and profitable strategy designed for those who prefer a broader longer term trade position without close daily monitoring. the price swings are also significantly wider so caution is always highly advised and only a modest position should be taken for this strategy. The BTIT current trade position: Short from 2252.60 as of 122816 - - there are now 17 completed trades for a total gain of 447.90 SP points. VERY IMPORTANT: Please note, all price signals must be taken from the large contract and then the mini can be traded, the mini gives too many false signals. therefore, the following instructions apply only for the large contract. so, get the signal from the large contract and then trade the mini on that large contract signal. 17 completed trades following this format has generated 447.90 SP points profit over the past 16 months. you could take the large contract signal and then trade any SP based ETF on that signal. For the BTIT trader, you are now short from 2252.60. place a buy stop to go flat at 2257.40. go long at 2265.00 on a straight stop, if filled place a sell stop at 2255.00. THE MEGA TREND INDICATOR (MTI) - - UP as of 72916 This is a front loaded comparative month by month trading range and weighted average rate of change of the most recent 11 and 14 months and is calculated on the last market day of each month. A monthly close for January below 2119.36 would turn the MTI to neutral. A monthly close for January below 1926.10 would turn the MTI to down. The MTI current trade position: Long from 2168.20, the closing price on 72916. This models buy signal is based on the Coppock Curve and has been back tested to 1914 with the DJIA. there have been a total of 22 previous buy signals over the past 102 years since 1914. of the 22 previous buy signals, only two false signals were given, they were given in October, 1938 and in January, 1948. this is a 90.9 accuracy rate since 1914. realize, this is a monthly indicator and these markets can move widely in both directions during mid month. Are you having difficulty finding an entry point for a new signal. Consider the Hoban Rule, even a child could follow the simple rules. I use it myself when the opportunity presents itself. also, look at the 13 Rule for easy position entry with much less risk. The Hoban Rule will not catch all trades, but will also not incur any entry whips on the entry of any new main model signals. this reliable and profitable strategy is presented here with each briefing only as a possible strategy option, one can use any trading strategy or any combination of strategies with the Hoban Rule that fits ones personal trading disposition. please review some of the other trading strategies in the tutorial at the bottom of each and every evening briefing. the Hoban Rule can be used with any other additional trading strategies that fit your disposition and comfort level. I prefer to combine the Hoban Rule with the 13 Rule for more active market participation. The Hoban Rule Performance History: The Hoban Rule was introduced to the evening briefing on 9414. since that time, this strategy has now completed 38 trades for a net gain of 259.80 SP points. this is a simple but elegant strategy for anyone who prefers a less challenging trade plan based on the main model signals. of course, past performance is never a guarantee of future success, but this particular trading strategy has an impressive history and is well worth considering if you have difficulty taking the best advantage of the main model signals. if you would like to see the trade by trade score sheet for the Hoban Rule, just ask me for it and I will email it to you. THE VERTICAL FUND: The Vertical Fund is now live and ongoing. this fund trades the same main model VP signals presented in each evening briefing. the difference is that The Vertical Fund is professionally managed by our own professional expert Trading Team, members with a Seat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and with more than 30 years experience located right on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. since its inception on July, 2015 the funds real time simulator performance shows a gross gain of 62.05. THE VERTICAL FUND real time performance since its inception on 93016 currently stands as of this past Friday with a net gain of -.39. this will be updated each Monday in the evening briefing. You can now follow The Vertical Funds trading action on Twitter theverticalfund - - not all trades are posted since the primary focus of the trading team is on the markets IF YOU PREFER A LONGER TERM TRADING STRATEGY WITHOUT THE FREQUENT VP INS AND OUTS AND ALL THAT MID DAY MARKET NOISE, THEN YOU MAY WELL CONSIDER THE BTIT INDICATOR OR THE LT INDICATOR TRADING METHOD FOR LONGER TERM POSITION TRADING. CHECK THE TUTORIAL BELOW TO LEARN HOW TO USE THESE METHODS EFFECTIVELY. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR All key line continue lower. it looks like the top is in place for the near term, at least. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR THE SP: The momentum line speaks for itself, down and dirty. The FEBRUARY Gold futures BROADER TERM INTERMEDIATE TREND BIAS: DOWN since 112316 A close above 1331.11 would turn the BTIT to up. A close above 1200.11 would turn the BTIT to neutral. The main model is now long the February gold from 1133.30 as of Tuesday, December 27th. TOMORROWS GOLD TRADE STRATEGY: For Tuesday, a close below 1142.70 in the February Gold contract would confirm a new main model sell signal. also, please review and consult daily with the VP Price Map for any and all main model mid day buysell revisions and updates. tomorrows trade strategy is always subject to revision based on the VP Price Map, so it is extremely important to be familiar with this map listed below. (the Hoban Rule was expressly designed for the SP market and no other market at this time) Rationale: A key floor price at 1142.603. GOLD FEBRUARY VP PRICES MAJOR - - 1190.27 and must close below that price on Wednesday, January 18th to confirm a new main model sell signal. TODAYS CLOSING PRICE - - 1151.40 Key floor price - - 1142.603 MAJOR - - (none) and must close above that price on (none) to confirm a new main model buy signal. The above is a price map in descending order of all currently active vertical prices above and below the market. those in red were generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were generated on previously confirmed sell signals. todays closing price is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the market. The Two Main Model Trade Rules: 1) Any time the market trades above any overhead VP price and then closes below it, this would confirm a new main model sell signal. 2) Any time the market trades below any lower VP price and then closes above it, this would confirm a new main model buy signal. Flat Line Indicator (FLI) for GLD. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR HAS BEEN SET FOR TRACKING GLD AND NOT THE FUTURES GOLD MARKET SINCE THE GLD ETF MARKET SHOWS A MORE LIQUID PATTERN. ALL THE MAIN MODEL SIGNALS FOR THE GOLD FUTURES MARKET WILL STILL REMAIN THE SAME. The momentum line continues higher, but we can now see the flat line move into the overbought zone. expect a possible pull back. just, maybe. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH FOR GOLD: The LT momentum line still continues higher from a deeply oversold level. The Main Model Formula The main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach complete buying andor selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about it. This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming the trend. also, at those VP points, the market is the most vulnerable to a legitimate trend change. USE ONLY THE LARGE SP FUTURES CONTRACT FOR ALL SIGNALS, THE MINI CONTRACT WILL GIVE YOU FALSE SIGNALS. AND THEN, ONCE A SIGNAL IS TRIGGERED (AND CONFIRMED), THEN YOU CAN TRADE ANY OTHER MARKET FROM THAT SIGNAL. Its always wise to hold only a light position in order to tolerate the wild price action of this market. also, if youre not nimble with these markets, then you may want to wait until the market closes for the day to be sure that any new signal is confirmed, this will eliminate all possible mid day whips. to be safer overnight, consider using an exit stop for capital preservation. Also, trailing stops are completely individual, it is presume that subscribers would have their own personal strategy on how and when to enter and exit the trade, these market can often be vicious. the VP points tell you where and if the market is about to move in one or another direction. for myself, I like to take profits at any time I get the sense Im satisfied, I dont need to ride out every signal all the way to the last stop, its really not necessary. Also, if youre having difficulty with these markets, I strongly urge that you consider a combination of the Hoban Rule and the 13 Rule to enter the trade positions, or just wait until the next morning to find a comfortable place to enter the trade, theres never a hurry. this will eliminate all whips. BRIEF TUTORIAL OF MAIN MODEL APPLICATIONS: The SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the large contract 4:15 pm futures closing price. also, use only the large contract for all official main model signals, the mini contract will give you false signals. The Confirmation Price The confirmation price is a specific market price beyond which the market must close in order to confirm a new main model buy or sell signal. the confirmation price is not a top or bottom picker, it is not designed to get you into a new position right at, or near, the top or bottom tick. but rather, it tells you that the trend has more than likely changed direction with a high degree of reliability. as has been demonstrated with better than a 98 reliability, the confirmation price confirms that the market trend has legitimately changed direction and that a new trend has just begun. very often, a buy confirmation price may seem so far above the market that taking a new long position at that high level seems risky. the same can be said for taking a new short position at a sell confirmation price. but factually, these price points are the most ideal place to enter a new position since these confirmation prices occur where most people are likely to take new erroneous positions in the trend that is just ending. this is why the market moves so explosively after the price is confirmed, e. g. the new short holders are scrambling to cover or the new dip buyers are selling out rapidly. The NT Indicator The NT indicator is a near term (NT) indicator and is included in the evening briefings for the benefit of those who make counter trend trades. the NT buy and sell spikes are not main model buy and sell signals, these spikes are only very near term, although they could always develop into something more significant over the next few days. using a weather analogy, the buysell spikes are much like a developing low pressure area or a tropical wave, they do not indicate a fully blown hurricane, although it could eventually develop. if a fully blown hurricane actually does develop, then the main model signal itself would address that market action. How To Read The NT Indicator The best and safest time to take an NT signal is when the market has already trended for some time and is now approaching a VP price, especially a major VP, then the NT spike would indicate that the trend is likely to reverse since the market is already vulnerable at a VP price, the NT spike provides greater certainty for that counter trend trade. The VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or expected to reach any VP price. however, if reached, the VP price represents where the buyingselling has stretched to its maximum exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very likely. VP prices behave like magnets, they attract the market price, and when the price touches the VP point, then the polarity reverses and repels price. all this market ever does is ping pong between VP prices. The main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach complete buying andor selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about it. This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming the trend. also, at those VP points, the market is the most vulnerable to a legitimate trend change. Therefore, when the market trades through those VP points and then backs away and closes on the other side of it again, there is a very high likelihood of a trend reversal at that time. these VP point are like magnets, they pull and attract the price until the VP is reached, and then upon reaching the VP it then reverses polarity and repels price. at that point, the market can back away and confirm a new trend signal or return to the VP and resume the original trend. this is where the main model determines the buy and sell confirmation prices. The FloorCeiling Price The floor price is always there in a down trend, the ceiling price is always there in an up trend. these specific prices are rarely mentioned because the market rarely reaches them. these are not VP prices but can be treated the same as a VP price except floor and ceiling prices change every day while the VP price does not. a close beyond the floorceiling price should be considered a second buy or sell confirmation signal. How To Read The VP Price If the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and doesnt return, then this typically indicates a market reversal, but if the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two, maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to continue in its current trend. repeated visits to a VP suggests the move is not yet over. A Suggestion On How To Enter A Position On A New Main Model Signal One way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 13 position only after the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points. after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does all day. then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the signal, then add the second 13 position. and then, on the close take the final 13 position. your average entry price will be abovebelow the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly reduced. this is a method I use for myself very often. Another way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on the close, and then take the new position. The Hoban Rule is an exclusive proprietary trading strategy that uses the main model signals to trade the SP market only. using this strategy eliminates all whips and is recommended to be used by those who are not market savvy andor nimble enough to trade free style. To take the trade, these two prerequisite criteria must be met: 1) The closing price on confirmation day must be within 6 points of the confirmation price, and 2) The confirmation price for the next signal must be more than 5 points from the closing price of that day. 3) Also, you may enter the trade anytime after the signal is confirmed if the market comes back to within 5 points of the original signal confirmation price. Since you dont yet know the confirmation price for the next signal at that moment, you can either take the trade if the closing price meets the first criteria, or wait for the evening briefing for that information. if you took the trade on the first criteria and the evening briefing reverse confirmation price does not satisfy the second criteria, then simply close out that trade. or, if you did not take the trade and the evening briefing satisfies the second criteria as well, then take the trade in the evening session or in the after hours market if youre trading a market ETF. or you can simply take the trade the following morning. However, if the closing price is 6 points or more from the confirmation price, then do not take the trade at that time, just stay flat. In order to take the trade when the closing price is 6 points or more from the confirmation price: 1) Place a limit order to enter the trade whenif the market moves within 5 points of the confirmation price. To exit the trade: 1) Place an exit stop 2 points beyond the next buysell confirmation price. if filled, then stay flat and wait for the next new signal to be confirmed. 2) If the next new signal is confirmed, then begin again with step 1 using the two entry criteria to begin the next new trade position. 3) If the new signal is not confirmed, simply stay flat and wait for the next newly confirmed signal to begin the next trade at step 1, or simply re-enter the original position provided that the closing price that day is within 6 points of the original confirmation price and the reverse confirmation price is at least 5 points above that days closing price. 4) Very often, you may find the second criteria is not met since the reverse confirmation price is less than 5 points above the closing price. but, on some occasions, a day or two later, the reverse confirmation price could actually move away from the market and would therefore meet the second criteria and subsequently satisfy both prerequisite criteria allowing for an entry provided that days closing price is still no more than 6 points from the original main model confirmation price. Applying The Hoban Rule for your trade positions based on the buysell confirmation prices as described above, you will find it easy to follow and with less stress than trying to catch the market while not knowing where it will actually close. and, also, all intraday entry whips are completely eliminated. Rules for automatic and optimal BTIT trading: USE ONLY THE LARGE CONTRACT FOR ALL SIGNALS 1) Enter a new position on a straight stop and use a simple 10 point exit stop from the BTIT signal entry price for the day the trade is entered. For example: If 2254.19 turns the BTIT down, then place a sell stop to go short at 2254.10 and also place an exit buy stop at 2264.10 to go flat. or, if 2254.19 turns the BTIT up, then place a buy stop to go long at 2254.20 and also place an exit sell stop at 2242.20 to go flat. 2) If the signal is not confirmed on the close and youre not stopped out, then close it out at the market and wait for the next signal. 3) If the signal is confirmed on the close, then place an exit stop for each day 2 points beyond the next days BTIT turn to neutral price listed in the evening briefing that evening. For Example: if youre long and the 2258.43 turns the BTIT to neutral, then place a sell stop to go flat at 2256.40. if youre short and the 2258.43 turns the BTIT to neutral, then place a buy stop to go flat at 2260.50. it makes no difference what the market does after that, your BTIT position would be flat, and then wait for the next new signal. there is nothing to think about and nothing to decide. 17 completed trades following this format has generated 447.90 SP points profit over the past 16 months. any questions, just ask. Rejected BuySell Signals Rejected buy andor sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general rule. a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp rally. as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the next day by a sharp decline. however, if the sharp rallydecline does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another attempt at that buysell signal. THE FLAT LINE INDICATOR The FLI is a handy and easy to read two graph tool to see market tops and bottoms as they occur, the nimble trader could use this FLI each day to enter a trade position based only on the precision data on this graph, this graph includes 2 12 years of daily price data. The FLI will give you more confidence when taking the VP signals. The FLI lines are color coded for easy reference, there are only three lines to follow. The color coded lines are: Price Line - this is the actual daily closing price for the SP front month futures contract, this price is read on the left side of the graph. Anti Price Line - this is the shadow price, this is the price required for the market to close that day for a change in direction to occur, this price is also read on the left side of the graph. SP Flat Line - this line shows the difference in SP points between the Price Line and the Anti Price Line (PL minus APL), this line is read on the right side of the graph. Broader Trend Line - this line tells you the broader direction of the market. When reading this graph you will notice: 1. The flat line tops and bottoms occur right at the actual market price tops and bottoms. 2. when the price line crosses through the anti price line, then the flat line crosses through the zero value turning the flat line to neutral, and therefore the name flat line. 3. The flat line in the second graph crosses above and below the momentum line as a leading indicator ahead of the actual change in market direction. 4. The momentum line in the second graph tells you the markets strength of speed and you will notice how the flat line in that graph turns and crosses through the momentum line ahead of the market itself. 5. The optimal time to take a flat line trade position is when the flat line spike occurs simultaneously with a confirmed VP signal although this tool provides numerous other trade opportunities beyond the VP signals for the more aggressive trader. Study the relation ships between the three lines at your leisure and you will make these and additional observations which can be useful trading tools. THE LT PRICE AND MOMENTUM GRAPH The momentum line very closely correlates with the market price. The email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you, many thanks. NOTICE: I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE, PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS. Navigation des articles